{"id":9039,"date":"2024-04-05T11:59:27","date_gmt":"2024-04-05T11:59:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=9039"},"modified":"2024-04-05T12:00:17","modified_gmt":"2024-04-05T12:00:17","slug":"nagorno-karabakh-in-the-shadow-of-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=9039","title":{"rendered":"Nagorno-Karabakh in the Shadow of Ukraine"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Author:<\/b> Thomas de Waal<\/span><\/a><\/p>

Affiliation: <\/b>Senior Fellow with Carnegie Europe<\/span><\/a><\/p>

Organization \/Publisher: <\/b>Foreign Affairs<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Date\/Place: <\/b>May 30, 2022\/ USA<\/span><\/p>

Type of Literature:<\/b> Article\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Word Count:<\/b> 2500<\/span><\/p>

Link: <\/b>https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/articles\/armenia\/2022-05-30\/nagorno-karabakh-shadow-ukraine<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/b><\/p>

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Keywords:<\/b> Russia, Ukraine, Nagorno-Karabakh, EU, Peace Talk<\/span><\/i><\/p>

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Brief:\u00a0<\/b><\/p>

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The article discusses the impact of Russia\u2019s war with Ukraine on the peace talks of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The author argues that Russia\u2019s centrality to any settlement of this conflict \u2014in what it sees as its backyard\u2014is in doubt. However, Armenia and Azerbaijan are making progress on two major issues in the peace talks under the auspices of the EU: 1) the reopening of transport routes across closed borders, and 2) the demarcation of the official border between Armenia and Azerbaijan. A core issue of the conflict since 1988 is the future status of the Armenian population of Karabakh. But intense wrangling continues even on the terms of the debate. Although the EU has supplanted Russia as a major mediator due to the setback in Ukraine, the diminished Russian role has caused instability. It also allows Armenia and Azerbaijan to work toward it if they wish to seize a definitive and historic peace settlement. Azerbaijan feels confident because European officials have substituted Russian energy supplies with Azerbaijani gas. The author concludes with the general perception from Azerbaijan\u2019s side, that it is possible to solve the conflict by using those tactics again\u2014and forcing the Armenian population to leave Karabakh. It might even succeed, but this would undoubtedly lead to a new cycle of violence and deepening resentment in Armenia. Nevertheless, the mediating role of the EU gives some space to pursue a peace deal that could quickly unravel the unstable geopolitical environment.<\/span><\/p>

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By: <\/b>Razia Wadood, <\/span>CIGA Senior Research Associate<\/span><\/i>\u00a0<\/b><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Author: Thomas de Waal Affiliation: Senior Fellow with Carnegie Europe Organization \/Publisher: Foreign Affairs\u00a0 Date\/Place: May 30, 2022\/ USA Type of Literature: Article\u00a0 Word Count: 2500 Link: https:\/\/www.foreignaffairs.com\/articles\/armenia\/2022-05-30\/nagorno-karabakh-shadow-ukraine\u00a0 \u00a0 Keywords: Russia, Ukraine, Nagorno-Karabakh, EU, Peace Talk \u00a0 Brief:\u00a0 \u00a0 The article discusses the impact of Russia\u2019s war with Ukraine on the peace talks of the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":9040,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[39],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9039","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-west-asia"],"blocksy_meta":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Nagorno-Karabakh-in-the-Shadow-of-Ukraine.jpg",1200,630,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Nagorno-Karabakh-in-the-Shadow-of-Ukraine-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Nagorno-Karabakh-in-the-Shadow-of-Ukraine-300x158.jpg",300,158,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Nagorno-Karabakh-in-the-Shadow-of-Ukraine-768x403.jpg",768,403,true],"large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Nagorno-Karabakh-in-the-Shadow-of-Ukraine-1024x538.jpg",1024,538,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Nagorno-Karabakh-in-the-Shadow-of-Ukraine.jpg",1200,630,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Nagorno-Karabakh-in-the-Shadow-of-Ukraine.jpg",1200,630,false]},"author_info":{"info":["CIGA 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