{"id":8699,"date":"2024-04-04T19:31:26","date_gmt":"2024-04-04T19:31:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=8699"},"modified":"2024-04-04T19:32:30","modified_gmt":"2024-04-04T19:32:30","slug":"putins-doomsday-threat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=8699","title":{"rendered":"Putin\u2019s Doomsday Threat"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Author: <\/b>Graham Allison<\/span><\/p>

Affiliation: <\/b>Harvard Kennedy School at Harvard University<\/span><\/p>

Organization\/Publisher: <\/b>Foreign Affairs<\/span><\/p>

Date\/Place: <\/b>April 5, 2022\/New York, USA<\/span><\/p>

Type of Literature: <\/b>Analysis<\/span><\/p>

Word Count: <\/b>2980<\/span><\/p>

Link: <\/b>https:\/\/fam.ag\/3KirU5p<\/span><\/a><\/p>

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Keywords:<\/b> Ukraine, Russia, USA, Kennedy, Nuclear, Cuban Missile Crisis<\/span><\/i><\/p>

Brief:<\/b><\/p>

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Ukraine has turned into a war that Putin cannot afford to lose without risking his regime and even his life, so the war is \u201centering a new, darker, and more dangerous phase.\u201d In other words, will Putin consider the use of nuclear weapons? This article attempts to answer this question from the perspective of the US\u2019s diplomatic efforts in the historical backdrop of the Cuban missile crisis. As the famous crisis shows, escalation towards a nuclear winter can be surprisingly quick, where one should ask what more the Biden administration can do without risking such catastrophic outcomes. As it stands, the US has imposed the most comprehensive package of sanctions the world has ever seen, and is extensively supplying Ukraine with arms. The Biden administration is aware that Moscow\u2019s national security may involve the use of nuclear weapons in certain circumstances even if the other side has not used or threatened to use them, which is a strategy called \u201cescalate to de-escalate\u201d that employs \u201ctactical\u201d nuclear weapons. Nonetheless, in the author\u2019s view the current situation is unlikely to devolve into a Cuban missile crisis-like scenario for two reasons: First, Putin has gone to great lengths not to threaten Washington\u2019s national interests; Second, Biden has been determined from the outset not to trigger a wider war. In fact, Biden\u2019s de-escalation position falls in line with many presidents before him, most notably Bush\u2019s stance on Putin\u2019s 2008 invasion of Georgia. Kennedy\u2019s speech in the wake of the crisis provides some insight on what the Biden\u2019s administration can do: \u201cAbove all, while defending our own vital interests, nuclear powers must avert those confrontations which bring an adversary to a choice of either a humiliating retreat or a nuclear war.\u201d In other words, Biden must avoid putting Putin in this position. Finally, the article speaks of Kennedy\u2019s imaginative three-component plan, through which he managed to avert the crisis, stressing that \u201cthe United States and its allies will need even more imagination than Kennedy and his advisors did in 1962. But as Biden and his team rise to this challenge, they can find inspiration in JFK\u2019s finest hour.\u201d<\/span><\/p>

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By: <\/b>Hamza Emir, <\/span>CIGA Research Assistant<\/span><\/i><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Author: Graham Allison Affiliation: Harvard Kennedy School at Harvard University Organization\/Publisher: Foreign Affairs Date\/Place: April 5, 2022\/New York, USA Type of Literature: Analysis Word Count: 2980 Link: https:\/\/fam.ag\/3KirU5p \u00a0 Keywords: Ukraine, Russia, USA, Kennedy, Nuclear, Cuban Missile Crisis Brief: \u00a0 Ukraine has turned into a war that Putin cannot afford to lose without risking his […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":8700,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[44],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8699","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-europe"],"blocksy_meta":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat.webp",800,400,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat-150x150.webp",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat-300x150.webp",300,150,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat-768x384.webp",768,384,true],"large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat.webp",800,400,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat.webp",800,400,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat.webp",800,400,false]},"author_info":{"info":["CIGA Staff"]},"category_info":"Europe, Russia, Oceania<\/a>","tag_info":"Europe, Russia, Oceania","comment_count":"0","rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat.webp",800,400,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat.webp",800,400,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat.webp",800,400,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat-150x150.webp",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat-300x150.webp",300,150,true],"large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat.webp",800,400,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat.webp",800,400,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/Putins-Doomsday-Threat.webp",800,400,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"CIGA Staff","author_link":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?author=22"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Europe, Russia, Oceania<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"Author: Graham Allison Affiliation: Harvard Kennedy School at Harvard University Organization\/Publisher: Foreign Affairs Date\/Place: April 5, 2022\/New York, USA Type of Literature: Analysis Word Count: 2980 Link: https:\/\/fam.ag\/3KirU5p \u00a0 Keywords: Ukraine, Russia, USA, Kennedy, Nuclear, Cuban Missile Crisis Brief: \u00a0 Ukraine has turned into a war that Putin cannot afford to lose without risking his…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8699","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8699"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8699\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8700"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8699"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8699"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8699"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}