{"id":6967,"date":"2024-04-01T11:27:55","date_gmt":"2024-04-01T11:27:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=6967"},"modified":"2024-04-01T11:29:03","modified_gmt":"2024-04-01T11:29:03","slug":"us-middle-east-influence-in-afghanistans-shadow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=6967","title":{"rendered":"US Middle East Influence in Afghanistan\u2019s Shadow"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"6967\" class=\"elementor elementor-6967\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-a151e6a elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"a151e6a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-d4392fc\" data-id=\"d4392fc\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a2ad2f1 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a2ad2f1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><b>Author:<\/b> <a href=\"https:\/\/gufaculty360.georgetown.edu\/s\/contact\/00336000014RuyeAAC\/daniel-brumberg\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Daniel Brumberg<\/span><\/a><\/p><p><b>Affiliation:<\/b> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.georgetown.edu\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Georgetown University<\/span><\/a><\/p><p><b>Organization\/Publisher:<\/b> <a href=\"http:\/\/arabcenterdc.org\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Arab Center, Washington DC<\/span><\/a><\/p><p><b>Date\/Place:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> July 15, 2021\/USA<\/span><\/p><p><b>Type of Literature:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> Policy Analysis<\/span><\/p><p><b>Word Count:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> 2473<\/span><\/p><p><b>Link: <\/b><a href=\"http:\/\/arabcenterdc.org\/policy_analyses\/us-middle-east-influence-in-afghanistans-shadow\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">http:\/\/arabcenterdc.org\/policy_analyses\/us-middle-east-influence-in-afghanistans-shadow\/<\/span><\/a><\/p><p><b>Keywords: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Deterrence, Diplomacy, Withdrawal, Power Projection.<\/span><\/p><p><b>Brief:\u00a0<\/b><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The US \u201cexit\u201d from the Middle East is influenced by its security interests, balancing the distribution of forces as part of the new strategy of \u201cdo more with less\u201d. But the Gulf countries will not see any similar troop reduction for the sake of maintaining good relations, as the Saudi-led GCC would see the pulling out of forces as a \u201cspiritual decoupling\u201d of the US and the GCC; accordingly, regional downsizing of forces will always be partial. The exiting<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400\">process carries the strategic paradox of maintaining power projection while accepting the role of regional powers like Russia and Iran. This balancing poses a challenge to the goal of ending the \u201cforever wars\u201d. The goal is to deter competitors without agitating them into open conflicts; regional powers share the same desire to avoid escalation. The American departure from Afghanistan reveals an interest in diplomacy among regional powers with the anticipation of the Taliban\u2019s return, and the rebalancing of the geopolitical arena will push each actor to deal with its own strategic paradoxes. Be that as it may, the US will not diminish its forces in key locations in the Middle East, where the strategy of deterrence remains the main method of projecting power. But ceding more influence gradually in certain countries like Iran and Russia will continue as well.<\/span><\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p><b>By: Omar Fili, CIGA Research Assistant<\/b><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Author: Daniel Brumberg Affiliation: Georgetown University Organization\/Publisher: Arab Center, Washington DC Date\/Place: July 15, 2021\/USA Type of Literature: Policy Analysis Word Count: 2473 Link: http:\/\/arabcenterdc.org\/policy_analyses\/us-middle-east-influence-in-afghanistans-shadow\/ Keywords: Deterrence, Diplomacy, Withdrawal, Power Projection. Brief:\u00a0 The US \u201cexit\u201d from the Middle East is influenced by its security interests, balancing the distribution of forces as part of the new [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":6968,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6967","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-global-perspective-and-critical-research"],"blocksy_meta":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow.jpg",1200,630,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow-300x158.jpg",300,158,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow-768x403.jpg",768,403,true],"large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow-1024x538.jpg",1024,538,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow.jpg",1200,630,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow.jpg",1200,630,false]},"author_info":{"info":["CIGA Staff"]},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?cat=31\" rel=\"category\">Global Perspective &amp; Critical Research<\/a>","tag_info":"Global Perspective &amp; Critical Research","comment_count":"0","rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow.jpg",1200,630,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow.jpg",1200,630,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow.jpg",1200,630,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow-300x158.jpg",300,158,true],"large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow-1024x538.jpg",1024,538,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow.jpg",1200,630,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/US-Middle-East-Influence-in-Afghanistans-Shadow.jpg",1200,630,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"CIGA Staff","author_link":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?author=23"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?cat=31\" rel=\"category\">Global Perspective &amp; Critical Research<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"Author: Daniel Brumberg Affiliation: Georgetown University Organization\/Publisher: Arab Center, Washington DC Date\/Place: July 15, 2021\/USA Type of Literature: Policy Analysis Word Count: 2473 Link: http:\/\/arabcenterdc.org\/policy_analyses\/us-middle-east-influence-in-afghanistans-shadow\/ Keywords: Deterrence, Diplomacy, Withdrawal, Power Projection. Brief:\u00a0 The US \u201cexit\u201d from the Middle East is influenced by its security interests, balancing the distribution of forces as part of the new&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6967","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6967"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6967\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6968"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6967"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6967"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6967"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}