{"id":4967,"date":"2024-03-27T19:31:23","date_gmt":"2024-03-27T19:31:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=4967"},"modified":"2024-03-27T19:32:52","modified_gmt":"2024-03-27T19:32:52","slug":"sudan-will-decide-the-outcome-of-the-ethiopian-civil-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=4967","title":{"rendered":"Sudan Will Decide the Outcome of the Ethiopian Civil War"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"4967\" class=\"elementor elementor-4967\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-9536bec elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"9536bec\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-9201cd2\" data-id=\"9201cd2\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-97d19d9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"97d19d9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><b>Authors:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0 <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/author\/nizar-manek\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nizar Manek<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/author\/mohamed-kheir-omer\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Mohamed Kheir Omer<\/span><\/a><\/p><p><b>Affiliation:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> Independent Journalist; Former member of <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Eritrean Liberation Front<\/span><\/p><p><b>Organization\/Publisher:<\/b> <a href=\"https:\/\/orsam.org.tr\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Foreign<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> Policy<\/span><\/p><p><b>Date\/Place:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> November 14, 2020\/USA<\/span><\/p><p><b>Type of Literature: <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Analysis\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><b>Word Count:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0 3344<\/span><\/p><p><b>Link:<\/b> <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2020\/11\/14\/sudan-will-decide-outcome-ethiopian-civil-war-abiy-tigray\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2020\/11\/14\/sudan-will-decide-outcome-ethiopian-civil-war-abiy-tigray\/<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><p><b>Keywords: <\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Tigray, Sudan, Ethiopia, Eretria, TPLF<\/span><\/i><\/p><p><b>Brief:<\/b><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">This analysis reveals the deceptive role that Sudan may play in the conflict between the Ethiopian government and its former rulers the Tigray People&#8217;s Liberation Front (TPLF). Despite being a local dispute, Tigray&#8217;s geographic location has made Sudan a key part in deciding the fate of the war in Ethiopia; as a territory that shares borders with Sudan, Khartoum would play a strategic game to achieve its aims. The dispute over borders between Sudan and Ethiopia, and over the Nile waters gives Khartoum leverage to pressure Abiy. After it has strategically contained the TPLF locally and from Eritrean borders, the strategic strength of TPLF would be from the Sudan borders. Sudan&#8217;s borders with the Tigray state of Ethiopia are seen as a channel for military supplies to Tigray fighters. While the government of Ethiopia wants to gain the upper hand against Tigray, Sudan could capitalize on the situation to achieve its geopolitical aims. However, despite being a decisive player in the Ethiopian game, Khartoum&#8217;s decisive role would be based on the latitude of Abiy\u2019s response. If Ethiopia accepts Khartoum&#8217;s demands, the war would be in favor of Abiy\u2019s government; if not, the outcome would be otherwise. Despite using journalistic language, the piece offers an insightful description of how Ethiopia\u2019s geography could be a curse for the state.<\/span><\/p><p><br \/><b>By:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> Imad Atoui, CIGA Research Associate<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Authors:\u00a0 Nizar Manek, Mohamed Kheir Omer Affiliation: Independent Journalist; Former member of Eritrean Liberation Front Organization\/Publisher: Foreign Policy Date\/Place: November 14, 2020\/USA Type of Literature: Analysis\u00a0 Word Count:\u00a0 3344 Link: https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2020\/11\/14\/sudan-will-decide-outcome-ethiopian-civil-war-abiy-tigray\/\u00a0 Keywords: Tigray, Sudan, Ethiopia, Eretria, TPLF Brief: This analysis reveals the deceptive role that Sudan may play in the conflict between the Ethiopian government [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":4968,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4967","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-nile-valley-north-africa"],"blocksy_meta":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the.webp",730,410,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the-150x150.webp",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the-300x168.webp",300,168,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the.webp",730,410,false],"large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the.webp",730,410,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the.webp",730,410,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the.webp",730,410,false]},"author_info":{"info":["CIGA Staff"]},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?cat=33\" rel=\"category\">Nile Valley &amp; N.Africa<\/a>","tag_info":"Nile Valley &amp; N.Africa","comment_count":"0","rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the.webp",730,410,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the.webp",730,410,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the.webp",730,410,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the-150x150.webp",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the-300x168.webp",300,168,true],"large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the.webp",730,410,false],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the.webp",730,410,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/Sudan-Will-Decide-the-Outcome-of-the.webp",730,410,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"CIGA Staff","author_link":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?author=23"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"<a href=\"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?cat=33\" rel=\"category\">Nile Valley &amp; N.Africa<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"Authors:\u00a0 Nizar Manek, Mohamed Kheir Omer Affiliation: Independent Journalist; Former member of Eritrean Liberation Front Organization\/Publisher: Foreign Policy Date\/Place: November 14, 2020\/USA Type of Literature: Analysis\u00a0 Word Count:\u00a0 3344 Link: https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2020\/11\/14\/sudan-will-decide-outcome-ethiopian-civil-war-abiy-tigray\/\u00a0 Keywords: Tigray, Sudan, Ethiopia, Eretria, TPLF Brief: This analysis reveals the deceptive role that Sudan may play in the conflict between the Ethiopian government&hellip;","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4967","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4967"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4967\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4968"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4967"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4967"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4967"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}