{"id":4396,"date":"2024-03-26T20:21:03","date_gmt":"2024-03-26T20:21:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=4396"},"modified":"2024-03-26T20:22:42","modified_gmt":"2024-03-26T20:22:42","slug":"afghanistan-peace-through-power-sharing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=4396","title":{"rendered":"Afghanistan: Peace through Power-Sharing?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t

Author<\/b>: <\/span>Ulrich Pilster<\/span><\/a><\/p>

Affiliation<\/b>: University of Essex\u2019s Michael Nicholson Centre for Conflict and<\/span><\/p>

Cooperation\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Organization<\/b>\/<\/span>Publisher<\/b>: The Washington Quarterly<\/span><\/p>

Date<\/b>\/<\/span>Place<\/b>: March 2020\/USA<\/span><\/p>

Type of Literature<\/b>: Journal Article<\/span><\/p>

Number of Pages<\/b>: 22<\/span><\/p>

Link<\/b>: <\/span>https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1080\/0163660X.2020.1736883?needAccess=true<\/span><\/a><\/p>

Keywords<\/b>:<\/i><\/b> Peace negotiations, Conflict resolutions, Rebels, International community.\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

Brief:<\/b><\/p>

This paper discusses the US-Taliban peace deal and its repercussions for the future of Afghanistan. Although the author highlights the fragile process of reaching a peace agreement that may take years without any guarantee for success, he foresees a viable political arrangement between the Taliban and the Afghan government through a successful power-sharing negotiation. He analyzes three out of 23 historical cases of intervention and a power-sharing agreement between the rebels and the government: (1) Afghanistan after the Soviet withdrawal (1979-89), (2) Angola after the Cuban intervention (1975-91), and (3) Cambodia after the Vietnamese retreated (1979-89). The author addresses the withdrawal of the foreign powers, the way to peace and power-sharing, and the outcome. Throughout his analysis, Pilster argues that \u201cGorbachev promoted peace through power-sharing in Afghanistan.\u201d But, the Soviet withdrawal, the policy of national reconciliation, and the Geneva Accord did not end the war. Above all, the end of the Cold War changed the domestic and international parameters. US support towards Mujahedeen had a role. In the case of Angola, \u201cinternational diplomacy was needed to end the intra-Angolan conflict.\u201d And, the Cambodian case shows that \u201cPower-sharing is precarious.\u201d With reference to 23 historical cases, the author identifies that the rebels took power in only eight cases (35 percent). The cases of Cambodia and Angola are good examples of ending decades-long conflicts peacefully. When a military victory was attainable in Afghanistan after the Soviet withdrawal, or in Angola after losing their external support, the result was a peace failure. Peace negotiations are abandoned when the military prospects of the combatants improve or the political prospects worsen. On the contrary, \u201cwhen a military stalemate coincides with a diplomatic consensus, power-sharing becomes possible.\u201d Pakistan\u2019s seeking international investment, and the US\u2019 willingness to leave Afghanistan have paved the way for a new diplomatic landscape. Overall, the key factor for sustainable peace in Afghanistan through power-sharing is a long-term sociopolitical and economic engagement of the international community. The author concludes his analysis by proposing four policy recommendations: (1) \u201ca withdrawal of Western forces must be conditions-based rather than calendar or clock-based.\u201d (2) \u201cRegional consensus around peace needs to be built and maintained.\u201d (3) \u201cAfghans need to develop a vision of what peace through power-sharing could look like.\u201d And (4) \u201cpeace needs a manager, even after a peace accord.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

\u00a0<\/p>

By:<\/b> Abdullah Jurat, CIGA Senior Research Associate<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Author: Ulrich Pilster Affiliation: University of Essex\u2019s Michael Nicholson Centre for Conflict and Cooperation\u00a0 Organization\/Publisher: The Washington Quarterly Date\/Place: March 2020\/USA Type of Literature: Journal Article Number of Pages: 22 Link: https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1080\/0163660X.2020.1736883?needAccess=true Keywords: Peace negotiations, Conflict resolutions, Rebels, International community.\u00a0 \u00a0 Brief: This paper discusses the US-Taliban peace deal and its repercussions for the future […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":4397,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[39],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-west-asia"],"blocksy_meta":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa.webp",1499,999,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa-150x150.webp",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa-300x200.webp",300,200,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa-768x512.webp",768,512,true],"large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa-1024x682.webp",1024,682,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa.webp",1499,999,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa.webp",1499,999,false]},"author_info":{"info":["CIGA Staff"]},"category_info":"West & Centeral Asia<\/a>","tag_info":"West & Centeral Asia","comment_count":"0","rttpg_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa.webp",1499,999,false],"landscape":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa.webp",1499,999,false],"portraits":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa.webp",1499,999,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa-150x150.webp",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa-300x200.webp",300,200,true],"large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa-1024x682.webp",1024,682,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa.webp",1499,999,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/aaa.webp",1499,999,false]},"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"CIGA Staff","author_link":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?author=22"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"West & Centeral Asia<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"Author: Ulrich Pilster Affiliation: University of Essex\u2019s Michael Nicholson Centre for Conflict and Cooperation\u00a0 Organization\/Publisher: The Washington Quarterly Date\/Place: March 2020\/USA Type of Literature: Journal Article Number of Pages: 22 Link: https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/pdf\/10.1080\/0163660X.2020.1736883?needAccess=true Keywords: Peace negotiations, Conflict resolutions, Rebels, International community.\u00a0 \u00a0 Brief: This paper discusses the US-Taliban peace deal and its repercussions for the future…","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4396","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/22"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4396"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4396\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4397"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4396"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4396"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4396"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}