{"id":2175,"date":"2024-03-21T18:33:16","date_gmt":"2024-03-21T18:33:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=2175"},"modified":"2024-03-21T18:33:37","modified_gmt":"2024-03-21T18:33:37","slug":"a-u-s-withdrawal-will-cause-a-power-struggle-in-the-middle-east","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/?p=2175","title":{"rendered":"A U.S. Withdrawal Will Cause a Power Struggle in the Middle East"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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Authors: <\/b>Seth Cropsey<\/span><\/a>, <\/span>Gary Roughead<\/span><\/a><\/p>

Affiliation: <\/b>Hudson Institute<\/span><\/a> Hoover Institution<\/span><\/a><\/p>

Organization\/Publisher: <\/b>Foreign Policy<\/span><\/a><\/p>

Date\/Place: <\/b>December<\/span> 17, 2019<\/span>, U.S.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>

Type of Literature:<\/b> Article<\/span><\/p>

Word Count: <\/b>2513<\/span><\/p>

Link: <\/b>https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2019\/12\/17\/us-withdrawal-power-struggle-middle-east-china-russia-iran\/<\/span><\/a><\/p>

Keywords: <\/b>Endless Wars, Meditation, Eurasia, Middle East, United States\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/i><\/p>

Brief<\/b>:<\/span><\/p>

The article discusses the United States\u2019 policy of ending \u201cendless wars\u201d especially in the Middle East and power struggles in the region. Although the U.S.\u2019 reliance on Middle East\u2019s oil has decreased, geographically it remains vital to the U.S.\u2019 interests. The United States\u2019 global defense system and reliance on maritime trade and transport for its economic power, requires access to the Levantine Basin and the Suez Canal. The author focuses on a regional scenario that Iran is one true aspirational contender of regional hegemony, but Israel and Saudi Arabia are the challengers of Iran\u2019s ambitions. Turkey is a strong candidate but for strategic balance it is unprepared for potential confrontation with Iran and Russia. The current alliance of Syrian regime and Iran, Turkey may well forego cooperation with the unofficial Saudi-Israeli entente. The United States must contend with China\u2019s growing control of the Mediterranean and European port infrastructure, and with Russia\u2019s air and naval bases at Khmeimim and Tartus. He suggests three possibilities in the event of U.S. naval withdrawal from the region, and none favor U.S. interests. Russia may broker political arrangements among Turkey, Israel, and Iran ; alternatively, it may support a coalition pitting some of those states against another in an effort to manufacture a manageable regional balance of power. Russia will still bid for control of the Mediterranean Sea. China can manipulate its European economic partners into limiting or expelling the U.S. Navy from its Mediterranean bases.\u00a0 If Iran defeats Saudi Arabia in a regional confrontation, control of Middle Eastern oil exports would give Iran the ability to coerce and intimidate the United States\u2019 European and Pacific allies. The author concludes that the United States\u2019 withdrawal will certainly give rise to another hegemon in the region that is hostile to U.S. interests. Such a change would copper-fasten the United States\u2019 loss of great-power status.<\/span><\/p>

By: Razia Wadood, CIGA Senior Research Associate<\/span><\/i><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Authors: Seth Cropsey, Gary Roughead Affiliation: Hudson Institute Hoover Institution Organization\/Publisher: Foreign Policy Date\/Place: December 17, 2019, U.S.\u00a0 Type of Literature: Article Word Count: 2513 Link: https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2019\/12\/17\/us-withdrawal-power-struggle-middle-east-china-russia-iran\/ Keywords: Endless Wars, Meditation, Eurasia, Middle East, United States\u00a0\u00a0 Brief: The article discusses the United States\u2019 policy of ending \u201cendless wars\u201d especially in the Middle East and power […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":2176,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-the-americas"],"blocksy_meta":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/A-U.S.-Withdrawal-Will-Cause-a-Power-Struggle-in-the-Middle-East.webp",1200,800,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/A-U.S.-Withdrawal-Will-Cause-a-Power-Struggle-in-the-Middle-East-150x150.webp",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/A-U.S.-Withdrawal-Will-Cause-a-Power-Struggle-in-the-Middle-East-300x200.webp",300,200,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/A-U.S.-Withdrawal-Will-Cause-a-Power-Struggle-in-the-Middle-East-768x512.webp",768,512,true],"large":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/A-U.S.-Withdrawal-Will-Cause-a-Power-Struggle-in-the-Middle-East-1024x683.webp",1024,683,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/A-U.S.-Withdrawal-Will-Cause-a-Power-Struggle-in-the-Middle-East.webp",1200,800,false],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/geopoliticalcompass.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/A-U.S.-Withdrawal-Will-Cause-a-Power-Struggle-in-the-Middle-East.webp",1200,800,false]},"author_info":{"info":["CIGA 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